Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 46.169465 51.980440 58.041475 64.817972 72.165667 79.874969 88.557960
2024-10-27 35.275670 43.436987 52.498567 63.228975 75.510008 89.049545 105.025585
2024-11-03 31.245275 40.874637 52.018342 65.709151 81.913057 100.319029 122.639302
2024-11-10 27.726808 38.282798 50.951435 67.014420 86.567875 109.329940 137.548312
2024-11-17 24.347903 35.381894 49.082355 66.961919 89.282200 115.832788 149.384411
2024-11-24 22.678630 34.414521 49.406799 69.440384 94.962979 125.848626 165.469502
2024-12-01 20.246131 32.165445 47.852148 69.329612 97.260494 131.645682 176.416372
2024-12-08 17.871803 29.745738 45.845864 68.423108 98.375453 135.859782 185.357194
2024-12-15 16.128305 28.037175 44.635668 68.422738 100.548064 141.339854 195.872442
2024-12-22 14.598349 26.487085 43.507461 68.411251 102.616053 146.641465 206.172221
2024-12-29 14.026391 26.321650 44.295492 71.017713 108.192841 156.532582 222.456832
2025-01-05 12.993773 25.340696 43.821455 71.791505 111.256631 163.151562 234.584078
2025-01-12 11.938967 24.260402 43.168921 72.322597 114.061142 169.576067 246.713710
2025-01-19 10.402836 22.239685 40.965903 70.489190 113.492972 171.463145 252.900233
2025-01-26 10.071052 22.233765 41.845733 73.193820 119.339568 182.052508 270.735190
2025-02-02 9.482931 21.719034 41.879789 74.605228 123.345385 190.179872 285.376747
2025-02-09 8.647028 20.673188 40.988361 74.548750 125.197135 195.348656 296.078603
2025-02-16 8.411996 20.720053 41.871106 77.232007 131.074811 206.153398 314.538127
2025-02-23 7.680194 19.745514 40.991430 77.112130 132.798555 211.173680 325.157393
2025-03-02 6.869835 18.527914 39.616711 76.130895 133.181002 214.277527 333.149436
2025-03-09 6.291172 17.716135 38.884928 76.130495 135.003674 219.413256 343.979305
2025-03-16 5.760804 16.946342 38.173841 76.118060 136.780223 224.482019 354.752143
2025-03-23 5.670622 17.122754 39.167032 78.938709 142.944385 235.927737 374.563255